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[Bahrain] [Protests] Unofficial Shiite opposition group calls for a march today, May 3 at 19:45 local time from central Abu Saiba (general location). Protests and demonstrations occur on a daily basis in Bahrain and typically see limited turnout in the one to the low dozens. Despite this, Le Beck continues to remind those travelling or residing in the country that all such protests hold the potential to see police intervention, particularly if they move the direction of sensitive locations or installations.

[Egypt] [Shooting] [Update to May. 2 DSB] Hasm claims responsibility for the Monday, May 1 shooting attack against police forces in Nasr City, Cairo (estimated location). Contrary to the official account of the attack, which reported three dead and five injured, the claim asserts that the group killed six police officers and destroyed two vehicles. As indicated in our original assessment, attacks against security forces in Cairo and other metropolitan areas of mainland Egypt are largely carried out by radical Muslim Brotherhood offshoots such as a Hasm and, despite the efforts of the Egyptian authorities, continue to occur with some frequency.

[Turkey] [Arrests; IS] Police arrest five Iraqi nationals suspected of belonging to Islamic State (IS)on Tuesday, May 2 in the Ilkadim district of the Black Sea port city of Samsun (general location). According to authorities, police were also able to seize “digital evidence” of their alleged affiliation. Security operations such as these are quite common, coming as part of the government’s ongoing crackdown against various militant organisations, including IS, and should be expected to continue.

[US; Europe] [Travel] The US State Department issues a travel warning on Monday, May 1 for the entirety of Europe. The advisory, which cites recent attacks in France, Russia, and Sweden, is set to last until 1 September 2017. This follows a similar EU-wide warning issued by the State Department in November 2016, advising as to the “heightened risk of terrorist attacks throughout Europe, particularly during the holiday season” (see Nov. 22 DSB). Although there has been an increase in particularly unsophisticated, IS-inspired attacks in Europe over the past year, it should be noted that the EU contains over 740 million individuals, less than 200 of which were killed in militant attacks over the past 12 months. In this context, Le Beck assesses that the current European security environment is not prohibitive to travel, although those residing or visiting EU countries should continue to exercise basic security precautions, such as remaining aware in crowded places.

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